publicações A Bayesian-Entropy Approach to Forecasting Documento An Approach to Bayesian Non-Linear Forecasting Problems with Applications Documento Aspects of Forecasting Aggregate and Discrete Data Documento Bayesian decision support in complex modular systems: an algebraic and graphical approach Documento Dynamic Analysis of Survival Models and Related Processes Documento Exact Simulation and Monte Carlo Inference for Jump-Diffusion Processes Documento Studying Effective Brain Connectivity Using Multiregression Dynamic Models Documento